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Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering

ISSN 2095-9184 (print), ISSN 2095-9230 (online)

Determination of cut-off time of accelerated aging test under temperature stress for LED lamps

Abstract: To acquire a rational minimum cut-off time and the precision of lifetime prediction with respect to cut-off time for the accelerated aging test of LED lamps, fifth-order moving average error estimation is adopted in this paper. Eighteen LED lamps from the same batch are selected for two accelerated aging tests, with 10 samples at 80 °C and eight samples at 85 °C. First, the accelerated lifetime of each lamp is acquired by exponential fitting of the lumen maintenances of the lamp for a certain cut-off time. With the acquired lifetimes of all lamps, the two-parameter Weibull distribution of the failure probability is obtained, and the medium lifetime is calculated. Then, the precision of the medium lifetime prediction for different cut-off times is obtained by moving average error estimation. It is shown that there exists a minimum cut-off time for the accelerated aging test, which can be determined by the variation of the moving average error versus the cut-off time. When the cut-off time is less than this value, the lifetime estimation is irrational. For a given cut-off time, the precision of lifetime prediction can be computed by average error evaluation, and the error of lifetime estimation decreases gradually as the cut-off time increases. The minimum cut-off time and medium lifetime of LED lamps are both sensitive to thermal stress. The minimum cut-off time is 1104 h with the lifetime estimation error of 1.15% for the test at 80 °C, and 936 h with the lifetime estimation error of 1.24% for the test at 85 °C. With the lifetime estimation error of about 0.46%, the median lifetimes are 7310 h and 4598 h for the tests at 80 °C and 85°C, respectively.


This article has been corrected, see doi:10.1631/FITEE.15e0483

Key words: LED lamp; Accelerated aging test; Medium lifetime; Moving average error

Chinese Summary  <26> LED灯具温度应力加速老化截止时间的确定

概要:在LED灯具加速老化过程中,为获得最小截止时间,对其寿命进行快速预估,本文采用5阶滑动平均误差方法分析数据。选用同批次的16个样本,分别进行80°C和85°C应力条件下的加速老化。首先,采用e指数对光通维持率进行拟合,获得每个灯具的加速寿命,进而采用威布尔分布对加速寿命进行拟合,获得中位寿命。其次,采用平均滑动误差方法,可获取不同截止时间下中位寿命预估误差。结果表明:加速老化过程中,存在最小截止时间,该时间可通过滑动平均误差和截止时间的关系确定;当截止时间小于该值时,寿命预估不合理;寿命预估误差随截止时间增加而逐渐减小。对于该类LED灯具,80℃时最小截止时间为1104小时,寿命预估误差为1.15%;85°C时最小截止时间为936小时,寿命预估误差为1.24%。当寿命估计误差约为0.46%时,80°C和85°C对应的中位寿命分别为7310小时和4598小时。

关键词组:LED灯具;加速老化测试;中位寿命;滑动平均误差


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DOI:

10.1631/FITEE.1500483

CLC number:

O439

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On-line Access:

2017-09-08

Received:

2015-12-28

Revision Accepted:

2016-04-11

Crosschecked:

2017-08-14

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