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Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE C 1998 Vol.-1 No.-1 P.

http://doi.org/10.1631/FITEE.2200540


LDformer: a parallel neural network model for long-term power forecasting


Author(s):  Ran TIAN, Xinmei LI, Zhongyu MA, Yanxing LIU, Jingxia WANG Chu WANG

Affiliation(s):  Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China

Corresponding email(s):   tianran@nwnu.edu.cn, 2020211978@nwnu.edu.cn, mazybg@nwnu.edu.cn, lyanxing@nwnu.edu.cn, 2020222004@nwnu.edu.cn, 2020221992@nwnu.edu.cn

Key Words:  Long-term power forecasting, LDformer, LSTM, UniDrop, Self-attention mechanism


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Ran TIAN, Xinmei LI, Zhongyu MA, Yanxing LIU, Jingxia WANG Chu WANG. LDformer: a parallel neural network model for long-term power forecasting[J]. Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering, 1998, -1(-1): .

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publisher="Zhejiang University Press & Springer",
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Abstract: 
Accurate long-time series power load forecasting is very important in the decision-making operation of the power grid and power consumption management of customers and can ensure the power system’s reliable power supply and the grid economy’s reliable operation. However, most time series forecasting models do not perform well in long-term time series forecasting tasks with large amounts of data and high forecasting accuracy. To address this challenge, we propose a parallel time series forecasting model called LDformer. First, we combine the Informer with LSTM to obtain deep expression capability in the time series. Then, we propose a parallel encoder module to improve the robustness of the model and combine convolutional layers with an attention mechanism to avoid value redundancy in the attention mechanism. Finally, we propose a ProbSparse self-attentive mechanism combined with uniDrop to reduce the computational overhead and mitigate the risk of losing some key connections in the sequence. Experimental results on five datasets show that LDformer outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline for most of the results in the different long time series prediction tasks.

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