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On-line Access: 2025-07-30

Received: 2025-04-11

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Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A

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Predicting permeability coefficients of earth-rock material using improved GAN and explainable ensemble learning under small sample conditions


Author(s):  Chengyu YU, Hongling YU, Xiaofeng QU, Baoxi LIU, Liangsi XU, Xinyu LIU, Xiangyu CHEN

Affiliation(s):  College of Water Resources and Civil Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China

Corresponding email(s):  yuhongling@cau.edu.cn

Key Words:  Permeability Coefficient Prediction; LightGBM; Wasserstein Conditional Generative Adversarial Nets; SHAP


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Chengyu YU, Hongling YU, Xiaofeng QU, Baoxi LIU, Liangsi XU, Xinyu LIU, Xiangyu CHEN. Predicting permeability coefficients of earth-rock material using improved GAN and explainable ensemble learning under small sample conditions[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University Science A,in press.Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering,in press.https://doi.org/10.1631/jzus.A2500127

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author="Chengyu YU, Hongling YU, Xiaofeng QU, Baoxi LIU, Liangsi XU, Xinyu LIU, Xiangyu CHEN",
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doi="https://doi.org/10.1631/jzus.A2500127"

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A1 - Liangsi XU
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A1 - Xiangyu CHEN
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doi="https://doi.org/10.1631/jzus.A2500127"


Abstract: 
Accurate prediction of the permeability coefficient is crucial for evaluating the compaction quality of earthworks. However, during the compaction process, on-site testing is often time-consuming and expensive, leading to fewer samples, which affects prediction accuracy. Moreover, most current predictive models have limited capabilities and tend to be black-box models with poor explainability. To overcome these issues, in this study we propose a new method to predict the permeability coefficient of earth-rock material, based on an improved Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and explainable OOA-HL-LightGBM. Firstly, by introducing the Was-serstein distance as the loss function into the Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN), the Wasserstein Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (WCGAN) has been proposed to generate high-quality data, addressing the issue of insufficient information caused by small samples. Furthermore, by incorporating material and compaction parameters as inputs, a high-accuracy permeability coefficient prediction model was developed using LightGBM with the Huber loss function and the Osprey Optimization Algorithm (OOA). Finally, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was introduced into OOA-HL-LightGBM to analyze the specific roles of different features within the dataset to enhance the credibility of the prediction results. The proposed method was applied to a large-scale high-core rockfill dam in Southwest China to thoroughly verify its effectiveness and superiority.

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