Full Text:   <3004>

CLC number: F235.2

On-line Access: 

Received: 2003-11-18

Revision Accepted: 2004-04-08

Crosschecked: 0000-00-00

Cited: 0

Clicked: 6093

Citations:  Bibtex RefMan EndNote GB/T7714

-   Go to

Article info.
1. Reference List
Open peer comments

Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A 2005 Vol.6 No.4 P.334-338

http://doi.org/10.1631/jzus.2005.A0334


Research of relationship between uncertainty and investment


Author(s):  MENG Li, WANG Ding-wei

Affiliation(s):  School of Information Science & Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 1100006, China; more

Corresponding email(s):   menliweida@vip.sina.com

Key Words:  Investment, Uncertainty, Real option, Stochastic process


MENG Li, WANG Ding-wei. Research of relationship between uncertainty and investment[J]. Journal of Zhejiang University Science A, 2005, 6(4): 334-338.

@article{title="Research of relationship between uncertainty and investment",
author="MENG Li, WANG Ding-wei",
journal="Journal of Zhejiang University Science A",
volume="6",
number="4",
pages="334-338",
year="2005",
publisher="Zhejiang University Press & Springer",
doi="10.1631/jzus.2005.A0334"
}

%0 Journal Article
%T Research of relationship between uncertainty and investment
%A MENG Li
%A WANG Ding-wei
%J Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A
%V 6
%N 4
%P 334-338
%@ 1673-565X
%D 2005
%I Zhejiang University Press & Springer
%DOI 10.1631/jzus.2005.A0334

TY - JOUR
T1 - Research of relationship between uncertainty and investment
A1 - MENG Li
A1 - WANG Ding-wei
J0 - Journal of Zhejiang University Science A
VL - 6
IS - 4
SP - 334
EP - 338
%@ 1673-565X
Y1 - 2005
PB - Zhejiang University Press & Springer
ER -
DOI - 10.1631/jzus.2005.A0334


Abstract: 
This study focuses on revealing the relationship between uncertainty and investment probability through real option model involving investment critical trigger and project earning. Use of Matlab software on the experimental results showing that project earning volatility influences investment probability, led the authors to conclude that this notion is not always correct, as increasing uncertainty should have an inhibiting effect on investment, and that in certain situation, increasing uncertainty actually increases the investment probability and so, should have positive impact on investment.

Darkslateblue:Affiliate; Royal Blue:Author; Turquoise:Article

Reference

[1] Amram, M., Kulatilaka, N., 2001. Real Options. Translated by Zhang, W., China Machine Press, Beijing, p.201-216 (in Chinese).

[2] Caballero, R.J., 1991. On the sign of the investment uncertainty relationship. American Economic Review, 81:279-288.

[3] Cox, J.S.R., Rubinstein, M., 1979. Option pricing: A simplified approach. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(7):229-263.

[4] Dixit, R.K., 1989. Entry and exit decisions under uncertainty. Journal of Political Economy, 97:20-638.

[5] Dixit, R.K., Pindyck, R.S., 1994. Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press.

[6] Dixit, R.K., Pindyck, R.S., 1995. The option approach to investment. Harvard Business Review, 73(5-6):103-105.

[7] Everstinefc, A., 1981. Symmetric potential formulation for fluid-structure interaction. Journal of Sound and Vibration, 79(1):157-160.

[8] Galitz, L., 1998. Financial Engineering. Translated by Tang, X., Economy Science Press, Beijing, p.309-323 (in Chinese).

[9] Harrison, J.M., 1985. Brownian Motion and Stochastic Flow Systems. Wiley, New York.

[10] McDonald, R., Siegel, L.D., 1986. The value of waiting to invest. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101:707-727.

[11] Meng, L., Wang, C.X., Wang, D.W., 2003. Real option analysis based on embedded option cash flow chart. Journal of Northeastern University (Natural Science), 24(9):889-892 (in Chinese).

[12] Merton, R.C., 1973. An intertemporal capital asset pricing model. Econometrician, 41:867-887.

[13] Metcalf, G.E., Hassett, K.A., 1995. Investment under alternative return assumptions: comparing random walks and mean reversion. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 19:471-1488.

[14] Pindyck, R.S., 1988. Irreversible investment, capacity choice, and the value of the firm. American Economic Review, 78:969-985.

[15] Song, F.M., 1999. The Principles of Financial Engineering–No Arbitrage. Tstinghua University Press, Beijing, p.96-124 (in Chinese).

Open peer comments: Debate/Discuss/Question/Opinion

<1>

Please provide your name, email address and a comment





Journal of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE, 38 Zheda Road, Hangzhou 310027, China
Tel: +86-571-87952783; E-mail: cjzhang@zju.edu.cn
Copyright © 2000 - 2024 Journal of Zhejiang University-SCIENCE